Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Pick & Odds
Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain at Stade Océane in Ligue 1 on Friday, October 30, with a 2:00 PM ET kickoff. Le Havre are winless over their last five, all competitions, while PSG have won all five.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
PSG
Paris Saint Germain
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 17 | W W W W W |
|
18
HAV
Le Havre
|
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 2 | L L L L D |
Model Intel
- Le Havre over their last five, all competitions: no wins, one draw, four losses, with 6 goals scored and 11 conceded
- PSG over their last five, all competitions: five wins, 16 goals scored and 6 conceded, including two Champions League results
- PSG have won four of the five previous meetings on record and drawn the other; Le Havre have not won any of them
- The market sees PSG as clear favourites, with home advantage at Stade Océane the main offset
The Breakdown
Le Havre come into round nine of the Ligue 1 regular season in poor form. Over their last five, all competitions, they have no wins, one draw and four defeats. Their latest result was a 3-4 loss away at Marseille, so they are not short of goals, but they have been punished at the other end. They have scored in three of their last five and conceded in four.
PSG's last five are all wins, and two came in the Champions League: away at Manchester City and at home against Barcelona. Those results show how they are playing, but they should not be read as Ligue 1 form. In that run they have averaged 3.2 goals a game and scored in all five, with three or more goals in four of them. The defence has been less airtight, conceding in four of five and keeping one clean sheet.
The key matchup is PSG's attack against a Le Havre defence that has conceded 11 in five and kept one clean sheet in that span. Le Havre average 1.2 goals a game over the same stretch, with three or more goals in only one of five. Their route to a result is probably to trade goals, as they did at Marseille, because PSG have scored in every game of their run. The history is lopsided too: four PSG wins and a draw in five meetings on record, the most recent a 1-0 PSG win at Le Havre on February 28. The 3-3 draw in April 2024 is the only meeting Le Havre have avoided losing.
The market treats PSG as heavy favourites, with a home win and the draw both seen as long shots by comparison. The numbers point to a game that could be open. PSG's last five produced four or more total goals in four games, and Le Havre's produced that many in three. The draw is still a real outcome, and Stade Océane gives Le Havre a home crowd, but the recent form gap between the sides is wide.
Our Pick
Our AI pick for this game hasn't been finalized yet — final picks are released closer to kickoff, once the latest lines and injury reports are in. Check back soon.
Common Questions
More Upcoming Soccer Matches
Predictions are data-driven and for informational purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed; sports betting carries risk. Must be of legal age in your jurisdiction. Please bet responsibly.