Venezia vs Inter Milan Prediction, Pick & Odds
Venezia host Inter Milan at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venice in Serie A Regular Season round 9 on Wednesday, October 28 (1:30 PM ET kickoff). Inter arrive with four wins in their last five, all competitions, while Venezia have lost four of theirs.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
INT
Inter Milan
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 22 | W W W D W |
|
20
VEN
Venezia
|
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 3 | L W L L L |
Model Intel
- Venezia have scored 4 and conceded 10 over their last five, all competitions, and failed to score in two of them
- Inter have scored in all of their last five, all competitions, averaging 2.4 goals per game
- Inter have won all five of the recent meetings on record, the latest a 5-1 win on December 3, 2025
- Four of Inter's last five games, all competitions, produced 3 or more total goals, against two of Venezia's five
The Breakdown
Venezia come in on a poor run, with one win and four defeats over their last five, all competitions. That lone win was a 1-0 home result against Napoli, and it also accounts for their only clean sheet in the span. Outside it they have conceded in every game, 10 goals in all, and they have managed just 0.8 goals per game. Two of the five ended without a Venezia goal, and the most recent was a 1-0 loss away at Genoa.
Inter's last five, all competitions, read as four wins and one loss. Two of those games were in the UEFA Champions League, including a 3-4 home defeat to Club Brugge KV and a 1-0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, so not all of it is Serie A form. In Serie A they beat Parma 3-0, won 3-1 away at Bologna and beat Fiorentina 2-1. They have scored in all five games, averaging 2.4 per game, with 12 goals for and 6 against.
The key matchup is Inter's consistent scoring against a Venezia defence that has been giving up two goals a game over its last five. Inter have kept two clean sheets in their last five, but they have also conceded in three, so Venezia's modest attack is not entirely without a route to a goal. Venezia have scored in three of their last five. Inter also won all five recent meetings between the sides, though the most recent was in a previous season, and two of the others are about five years old.
The market sees Inter as clear favorites, with a Venezia win a long shot and the draw less likely than an away win. The goal line of 3.5 is high. Inter's recent games have often reached three total goals, but only two of their last five cleared four, and the same is true of Venezia's. That points to a match that could open up if Inter score early, though a low-scoring game is still well within the range of recent results.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Match Result | Total | Both Teams Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | VEN +600 DRAW +425 INT -300 | O – U – | YES -170 NO +135 |
| BetMGM | VEN +575 DRAW +450 INT -275 | O 3.5 -105 U 3.5 -130 | YES -165 NO +115 |
| BetRivers | VEN +700 DRAW +440 INT -315 | O 3.5 -109 U 3.5 -120 | YES -175 NO +128 |
| Pinnacle | VEN +661 DRAW +485 INT -279 | O 3.5 -101 U 3.5 -111 | YES -157 NO +134 |
| 1xBet | VEN +710 DRAW +488 INT -260 | O 3.5 +102 U 3.5 -108 | YES -172 NO +126 |
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 26, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; current prices are in the Odds Comparison above.
Inter's moneyline is a prohibitively short price at -295 or shorter, so the total is the better route, and the Under 3.5 is the contrarian side here because the market leans Over (BetRivers -121). Venezia average 0.8 goals per game over their last five and Inter concede 1.2 per game over theirs, so a fourth goal needs a lot to go right, and only 2 of Venezia's last five games reached four combined goals.
Both Teams to Score: No at +145 (DraftKings). Venezia are averaging 0.8 goals per game and failed to score in 2 of their last 5, and they have found the net in only one of five meetings with Inter.
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