Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Pick & Odds
Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde in Spiesen-Elversberg in a Bundesliga round-eight match on Friday, October 30 (3:30 PM ET). Mainz come in as the market's preferred side, though both teams have been involved in plenty of goals recently.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
M05
FSV Mainz 05
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 10 | L W L W L |
|
8
ELV
Elversberg
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 10 | L W L D L |
Model Intel
- Elversberg have scored in only one of their last five games, all competitions, and conceded in four of them.
- Mainz have scored in four of their last five, all competitions, averaging 2 goals per game.
- Three of Mainz's last five games, all competitions, had four or more total goals; Elversberg's last five include two such games.
- The only prior meetings on record are dated: Mainz won 1-0 in August 2023 and the sides drew 2-2 in August 2021.
The Breakdown
Elversberg arrive on a poor run. Over their last five, all competitions, they have one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring just four goals and conceding ten. The lone win was a 4-3 home result against Augsburg in the Bundesliga, and they have failed to score in four of those five games. The most recent two were a 0-4 loss away at RB Leipzig and a 0-2 home defeat to Darmstadt in the DFB Pokal, so their goal output is the main concern heading into this game.
Mainz have a similar overall record over their last five, all competitions, with two wins and three defeats, but their games have looked very different. They have scored ten and conceded twelve, scored in four of the five, and averaged two goals per game. A 1-0 win away at Schalke was the only clean sheet in that stretch. Their last result was a 0-2 loss away at VfL Bochum in the DFB Pokal, which sits outside the Bundesliga picture.
The key matchup is Mainz's attack against an Elversberg defence that has conceded in four of its last five, all competitions. Mainz's own back line has also been leaky, conceding in four of five, so Elversberg's best route is the type of game that produced their 4-3 win over Augsburg. The old head-to-head adds little: Mainz won 1-0 in August 2023 and the sides drew 2-2 in August 2021, and both squads have surely changed since.
The market sees Mainz as the more likely winner but leaves real room for a draw and an Elversberg result, with home advantage at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde in the mix. The numbers point to a match that could open up if Elversberg find the net, since Mainz's recent games have regularly produced four or more total goals. If Elversberg's scoring drought continues, the game could instead be a lower-scoring one in which Mainz carry most of the attacking threat.
Our Pick
Our AI pick for this game hasn't been finalized yet — final picks are released closer to kickoff, once the latest lines and injury reports are in. Check back soon.
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