Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe Prediction, Pick & Odds
Athletic Bilbao host Getafe at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao on Sunday, October 25 (9:00 AM ET kickoff) in round 10 of La Liga. The home side are clear market favorites, though both teams arrive on stretches of low-scoring football and Getafe won the last two meetings between them.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
AC
Athletic Bilbao
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 12 | W L D D |
|
17
GET
Getafe
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 | L D L W L |
Model Intel
- Athletic Bilbao kept clean sheets in 3 of their last five games, all competitions, but lost 3-1 away at Levante in their most recent outing on October 21.
- Getafe have averaged 0.6 goals per game over their last five, all competitions, and conceded in 4 of those 5.
- Getafe won the last two meetings, April 5 and October 25, 2025. All five recent meetings finished under 2.5 total goals.
- Athletic Bilbao play at San Mamés Stadium, where they opened their recent run with a 3-0 win over Atletico Madrid on September 5.
The Breakdown
Athletic Bilbao come into round 10 of La Liga with one win, three draws and one loss over their last five, all competitions. The picture is steady rather than sharp: they scored in three of those games and averaged a goal per game. The most recent result was a 3-1 defeat away at Levante on October 21, which broke a run of three straight goalless or level results that included 0-0 draws against Alaves and away at Valencia. Their September 5 win over Atletico Madrid, 3-0 at home, is the only game in that window where they scored more than once.
Getafe's recent run is similar in record but thinner in attack. Over their last five, all competitions, they have one win, two draws and two losses, with just three goals scored and six conceded. They failed to score in two of the five, including a 3-0 loss away at Barcelona on October 10, and none of the five produced three or more goals from them. Their last two results were 1-1 draws: away at Universitatea Craiova in the UEFA Europa Conference League on October 15, then at home against Rayo Vallecano on October 19. Conceding in four of five games shows they are rarely untouched at the back.
The key matchup is Getafe's low-scoring attack against an Athletic defense that has kept three clean sheets in five. Getafe have won the last two head-to-head games, 2-0 on April 5 and 1-0 on October 25, 2025, though those came in a previous season. Athletic's attack has been inconsistent, so goals may be hard to come by for both teams.
The market makes Athletic Bilbao clear favorites, helped by home advantage, with the draw a real possibility and Getafe the outsider. The numbers point to a tight, low-event game. All five recent meetings finished under the 2.5 goals line, Getafe have scored three or more in none of their last five, and the combined-goals counts for both sides' recent games are modest. A single goal could settle it, and a draw is as plausible as it looks on the page.
Update: since this preview was written, Getafe lost 2-5 at home against FC Lugano (UEFA Europa Conference League, October 22).
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 23, 2026 at 9:31 AM ET — odds can move after that; see the odds page for current prices.
The market favors the Under at -167 (BetRivers), and all five recent meetings between these sides finished under 2.5 goals, though the latest one is from last season. Athletic kept clean sheets in 3 of their last five and score about 1 per game, while Getafe also average 1 goal per game over their last five.
Both Teams to Score: No (-175 at BetRivers and DraftKings) is a reasonable alternative. Only one of the last five meetings between these sides, the 1-1 draw in August 2024, saw both teams score, and Athletic Club kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 games.
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