Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction, Pick & Odds
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 on Sunday, October 25. PSG arrive with five straight wins across all competitions, while Lyon are coming off a European defeat three days earlier.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
PSG
Paris Saint Germain
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 17 | W W W W W |
|
5
LYO
Lyon
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 | L W L W D |
Model Intel
- PSG have won all five of their last five games across all competitions, scoring 16 goals and conceding 7
- Lyon have won three of their last five, scoring 10 and conceding 8, with a 3-0 loss at Hoffenheim in the Europa League on October 22
- PSG have won four of the last five meetings, but Lyon took the most recent one 2-1 on April 19
- Every one of PSG's last five and every one of Lyon's last five produced three or more total goals
The Breakdown
Paris Saint Germain come into Parc des Princes in strong form, winning all five of their last five across all competitions. Two of those came in the Champions League, a 4-2 win away at Manchester City and a 4-2 win at home against Barcelona. The other three were in Ligue 1, including wins away at Marseille and Strasbourg. Lyon's last five, all competitions, is more uneven: three wins and two defeats. They beat Rennes 4-0 and Nice 2-1 in Ligue 1, lost 2-1 away at Lens, and beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the Europa League. They then lost 3-0 away at Hoffenheim in the same competition on October 22.
The key matchup is PSG's attack against a Lyon defence that has leaked goals. PSG have averaged 3.2 goals per game over their last five, all competitions, and scored three or more in four of them. They have also not kept a clean sheet in that run, conceding in every game for seven goals in total. Lyon average 2.0 goals per game over the same stretch and have scored in four of five, with one clean sheet. Lyon have conceded in four of five, so both sides tend to be involved in goals. Lyon were also the last team to win this fixture, 2-1 at Parc des Princes on April 19 in the previous season. PSG had won the four meetings before that, so the head-to-head history leans their way overall.
The market treats PSG as clear favorites, which fits their form and home advantage, though a Lyon side that has scored in most of its recent games keeps a draw or away result in play. The numbers point to an open game. Every one of PSG's last five and Lyon's last five featured at least three combined goals. Four or more goals came up in four of PSG's five and two of Lyon's five. Three of the last five meetings between these sides also reached four or more. A game with chances at both ends looks more likely than a tight, low-scoring one.
Our Pick
Our AI pick for this game hasn't been finalized yet — final picks are released closer to kickoff, once the latest lines and injury reports are in. Check back soon.
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