Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction, Pick & Odds
Paris Saint Germain host Lyon at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 on Monday, October 26 (3:30 PM ET kickoff). PSG arrive with five straight wins across all competitions, while Lyon have gone W-L-W-W-L over the same stretch.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
PSG
Paris Saint Germain
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 17 | W W W W W |
|
5
LYO
Lyon
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 14 | L W L W D |
Model Intel
- PSG have won all five of their last five across all competitions, scoring 16 and conceding 7.
- Lyon have scored in four of their last five, but they lost 3-0 away at Hoffenheim in the Europa League on October 22.
- Every one of PSG's last five and every one of Lyon's last five produced three or more total goals.
- PSG have won four of the last five meetings, though Lyon won the most recent one on April 19, 2026.
The Breakdown
Paris Saint Germain come in as the form side. Over their last five, all competitions, they have won every game and scored in each of them, averaging 3.2 goals per game. Two of those wins were Champions League results against Manchester City away and Barcelona at home, so the form has been built against high-level opposition as well as in Ligue 1, where they won at Marseille and Strasbourg and beat Le Mans at home. Lyon's last five is more mixed at 3-0-2. They beat Rennes 4-0 and Nice 2-1 in Ligue 1, lost at Lens, and split two Europa League games, beating Crystal Palace at home and then losing 3-0 at Hoffenheim on October 22.
The key matchup is PSG's scoring against Lyon's defensive record. PSG have scored 3+ goals in four of their last five but have not kept a clean sheet in any of them, conceding 7 in total. Lyon average 2 goals per game over their last five and have scored in four of five, but they have conceded 8 and kept one clean sheet. That gives PSG a lot of attacking output to bring against a back line that has been breached regularly, and Lyon's goals mean the visitors are not toothless either. PSG will be without O. Dembele (4 goals, 6 assists this season), K. Kvaratskhelia and Marquinhos, so their attack and defense both lose regular contributors.
The market treats PSG as clear favorites, with a home win seen as far more likely than either a draw or a Lyon win, which fits the home side's form and the setting at Parc des Princes. The numbers point toward an open game. PSG's last five produced four or more total goals in four games, against two of five for Lyon, and all ten recent games for the two sides produced at least three. Lyon did win the last meeting in April, and PSG won the four before it, so history gives no easy read. A draw is still a live outcome, and the path to an upset runs through Lyon's goals.
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 24, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; see the odds page for current prices.
Lyon found the net in each of the last five meetings with PSG, and PSG has conceded in 5/5 games (7 goals against) over their last five, which includes two Champions League matches. PSG is also without Marquinhos here, which makes a clean sheet harder to come by. Lyon's 0-3 loss at Hoffenheim in the Europa League is the one concern, but they scored in 4/5 over their last five and average 2 goals a game. DraftKings has the best price at -180.
Over 3.5 goals at -105 (BetMGM) is worth a look as the contrarian side, since the market leans Under at -135. Paris Saint Germain have cleared 3.5 total goals in 4 of their last five games, and 3 of the last five meetings with Lyon did the same.
Common Questions
More Upcoming Soccer Matches
Predictions are data-driven and for informational purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed; sports betting carries risk. Must be of legal age in your jurisdiction. Please bet responsibly.