Sassuolo vs Lazio Prediction, Pick & Odds
Sassuolo host Lazio in Serie A on Tuesday, October 27 (1:30 PM ET) in Reggio Emilia. Lazio arrive unbeaten over their last five in all competitions, while Sassuolo have lost three of theirs.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
LAZ
Lazio
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 25 | W W W W W |
|
14
SAS
Sassuolo
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 | L L L D L |
Model Intel
- Lazio have won four and drawn one of their last five, all competitions, scoring in every game.
- Sassuolo have conceded in all of their last five, 11 goals in total.
- Lazio have won three of the last five meetings, including a 2-1 win on March 9, 2026.
- The market gives Lazio a slight edge, with the draw a sizeable part of the picture.
The Breakdown
Lazio come in with the better recent run. Over their last five, all competitions, they have four wins and a draw, scoring 12 goals and conceding four. They scored in every game and kept two clean sheets. Their most recent result was a 3-0 win away at Juventus on October 18, a clear marker of the standard of opposition behind their form.
Sassuolo's last five, all competitions, have been harder going: one win, one draw and three losses. That win was a 3-2 home result against Juventus on September 13, and they also drew 1-1 at home against AC Milan on October 11. They have since lost 4-2 away at Frosinone and 2-0 away at Como. They have scored in four of those five games, averaging 1.4 goals, but their defence has been the problem. They have conceded in all five, 11 goals in total, and have no clean sheets.
That makes the central contrast Lazio's attack, which averaged 2.4 goals over its last five, against a Sassuolo defence that has not shut a team out in that span. Sassuolo's own scoring is more modest, and Lazio have conceded in only three of their last five. Head to head, Lazio have three wins, one draw and one loss in the last five meetings. Sassuolo's one win was 1-0 at home on September 14, 2025. The most recent meeting, Lazio's 2-1 win on March 9, 2026, came in a previous season, so it says less than current form.
The market makes Lazio slight favorites, with a real chance of a draw and a Sassuolo win still well within reach. Home advantage in Reggio Emilia is part of that balance. On recent numbers the game has some goals in it: Sassuolo have had three or more total goals in three of their last five and Lazio in four of theirs. A tight finish remains possible, given that Lazio kept two clean sheets in their last five and Sassuolo score in most games.
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 25, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; see the odds page for current prices.
This is the contrarian side, since the market leans Over, but four of the last five Lazio-Sassuolo meetings stayed under this number (two of those are about three years old), and Sassuolo average only 1.4 goals scored per game, with just 1 of their last 5 reaching 3+.
Lazio on the moneyline at +128 (BetRivers) is a fair price for a side unbeaten over its last five with 4 wins, 1 draw and 12 goals scored. Sassuolo has conceded in all 5 of its recent games and has 3 losses, and Lazio won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including the most recent one in March.
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