Sevilla vs CA Osasuna Prediction, Pick & Odds
Sevilla host CA Osasuna at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in a La Liga Regular Season Round 10 fixture on Monday, October 26 (4:00 PM ET). Sevilla have scored in all of their last five games, while Osasuna have conceded in four of theirs.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
SEV
Sevilla
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 | W L D L W |
|
12
OSA
CA Osasuna
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | L W L D L |
Model Intel
- Sevilla have scored in 5/5 of their last five games, all competitions, but conceded in 3/5 and shipped 10 goals in total.
- Osasuna have conceded 12 goals over their last five, all competitions, and failed to score in 2/5.
- The last five meetings: Osasuna 2 wins, Sevilla 1, with 2 draws. The most recent, an Osasuna 2-1 win on April 26, came last season.
- Four of those five meetings finished under 2.5 goals, while 3+ total goals landed in 3/5 of Sevilla's recent games and 2/5 of Osasuna's.
The Breakdown
Sevilla's last five, across all competitions, read as two wins, a draw and two losses, with the two defeats being their two most recent away trips outside the draw. They lost 1-4 away at Real Madrid on October 18 and drew 3-3 away at Levante on October 12, after a 1-3 home loss to Barcelona on September 19. They have scored in every one of those five games, averaging 1.4 goals, but they have also conceded 10, and the Levante and Real Madrid games show how loose they can get on the road. Osasuna's five has been uneven: three losses, a draw and a win. Two of those defeats were heavy, 0-4 away at Atletico Madrid and 2-5 away at Real Betis, while the most recent result was a 2-0 home win against Racing Santander on October 18.
The key matchup is a leaky back line against a modest attack. Osasuna have scored just 5 goals over their last five, averaging 1.0 per game, never reached three in a game, and failed to score twice. That gives them limited firepower against a Sevilla defence that has conceded in 3/5 but kept two clean sheets. On the other side, Sevilla's attack has been consistent rather than explosive: a goal in every game but three or more only once. Osasuna have conceded in 4/5 and 12 in total, and they have kept just one clean sheet, so Sevilla's habit of scoring meets a defence that has rarely shut opponents out lately.
The market makes Sevilla slight favourites at home, with a sizeable chance of a draw and Osasuna as the clear outsider. The head-to-head history backs a close contest: Osasuna won two of the last five meetings, Sevilla one, and two were draws, with four of the five finishing under 2.5 goals. Recent form pulls the other way, since both sides have conceded plenty lately, and the goals line is set at 2.5. The game could be a tight, low-scoring contest in the mold of the recent meetings, or more open if either defence leaks as it has recently.
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 24, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; see the odds page for current prices.
Osasuna have conceded 12 goals over their last five, including a 0-4 at Atletico Madrid and a 2-5 at Real Betis, and they scored in only 3 of those 5. Sevilla scored in all 5 over their last five, and the market gives them 49% to win against 23% for Osasuna. BetMGM has the best price at -105.
Both Teams to Score: Yes at -110 (BetMGM, DraftKings). Sevilla scored in all five of their last five and conceded in three of them, while Osasuna have let in 12 goals over their last five and conceded in four of them, so both ends of this match look leaky.
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