AC Milan vs Bologna Prediction, Pick & Odds
AC Milan host Bologna at San Siro on Wednesday, October 28 (1:30 PM ET) in Serie A's Regular Season round 9. Milan come in scoring freely across Serie A and the Europa League, while Bologna have scored three or more goals in none of their last five.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
MIL
AC Milan
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 18 | W W D W D |
|
13
BOL
Bologna
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | W L W D L |
Model Intel
- Milan have averaged 2.2 goals per game over their last five, all competitions, and scored in four of the five
- Bologna have scored 1.2 goals per game over their last five, with none of the five reaching three goals
- Milan have won the last two meetings, including a 3-0 win away at Bologna on February 3, 2026
- Milan's last five include a 0-3 Europa League defeat away at Bournemouth
The Breakdown
AC Milan's last five games, across Serie A and the Europa League, read as three wins, a draw and a loss. They scored 11 goals and conceded six. The pattern is a side that scores regularly, with three of the five games producing three or more goals for Milan, but also one that gives chances away, since they conceded in three of the five. The loss was 0-3 away at Bournemouth in the Europa League. That result belongs to a different competition and shouldn't be read as league form, but it does show Milan can be shut out. They also won 4-0 away at Red Bull Salzburg in the same competition, which shows how wide the range has been.
Bologna's last five, all competitions, are two wins, a draw and two defeats, with six scored and six conceded. Their attack has been modest at 1.2 goals per game, and none of the five reached three goals. They kept one clean sheet and conceded in four of the five. Their most recent result was a 2-0 win away at Cagliari. The key matchup is Milan's scoring against a Bologna side that has been scored on regularly. Milan have scored in four of five games and Bologna have conceded in four of five. Milan also hold the head-to-head edge, with three wins in the last five meetings and wins in the last two, including 3-0 away at Bologna on February 3, 2026. The two sides split the 2025 meetings in May, one win each.
The market treats Milan as clear favourites at home, with Bologna a long way behind and the draw a real but smaller possibility. The numbers point to a game that could open up. Four of Milan's last five games produced three or more total goals, while Bologna's games have been more mixed, with two of five reaching that mark. Milan's home setting and attacking output are the headline factors, but Bologna have scored in four of their last five, so a tight, low-scoring game remains plausible.
Update: since this preview was written, AC Milan won 2-0 away at Udinese (Serie A, October 25).
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Match Result | Total | Both Teams Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | MIL -145 DRAW +255 BOL +390 | O – U – | YES +100 NO -125 |
| BetMGM | MIL -140 DRAW +270 BOL +400 | O 2.5 +100 U 2.5 -140 | YES -108 NO -135 |
| BetRivers | MIL -152 DRAW +260 BOL +425 | O 2.5 -104 U 2.5 -125 | YES -110 NO -124 |
| Pinnacle | MIL -137 DRAW +278 BOL +425 | O – U – | YES +104 NO -119 |
| 1xBet | MIL -130 DRAW +281 BOL +433 | O 2.5 +112 U 2.5 -120 | YES -108 NO -126 |
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 26, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; current prices are in the Odds Comparison above.
AC Milan have won 3 of their last five across all competitions (one draw, one loss), including a 2-0 win at Udinese on October 25, and they average 2 goals per game over that stretch. Bologna have 2 wins from their last five and average 1.2 goals per game, with none of those five reaching 3+ goals scored.
Both Teams to Score: Yes at -120 (DraftKings). Milan have scored in 4 of their last 5 and Bologna have also scored in 4 of 5, while both sides have conceded in at least 3 of those games.
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