Parma vs Udinese Prediction, Pick & Odds
Parma host Udinese at Stadio Ennio Tardini on Wednesday, October 28 (1:30 PM ET) in Serie A's Regular Season round 9. Both sides arrive on poor recent runs, with Parma winning once in their last five and Udinese losing all five.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
UDI
Udinese
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | L L L L L |
|
19
PAR
Parma
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | L L L W L |
Model Intel
- Udinese have lost all five of their last five, all competitions, conceding 13 goals
- Parma have conceded in every one of their last five and let in 11 goals
- Udinese won three of the last five meetings, while Parma won the most recent, 1-0 away at Udinese on April 18, 2026
The Breakdown
Neither side comes in with momentum. Parma have won once in their last five, all competitions, scoring four goals and conceding 11. They have conceded in every game and failed to score in two, and recent defeats have included 0-3 away at Inter and 0-3 at home against Torino. Their only win in that run was 2-1 at home against Genoa, so home form has been mixed rather than reliably strong.
Udinese's last five are all defeats, with five scored and 13 conceded. They have allowed goals in every game, and one of those was a 3-5 defeat away at Inter. They have scored in three of the five but averaged only one goal per game, so the attack has not been enough to cover the leaks at the back. The most recent result was a 0-3 loss at home against Lecce.
The central matchup is two leaky defences meeting two modest attacks. Parma have averaged 0.8 goals per game over their last five, while Udinese have averaged 1.0. Neither side has a clean sheet in that span, which means both have regularly been scored against. Every one of Parma's last five games produced three or more total goals, and four of Udinese's did. The head-to-head tells a different story: three of the last five meetings, and the three most recent, finished with fewer than three total goals, and Udinese won two of those three. Parma won the most recent meeting, 1-0 away at Udinese on April 18, 2026.
Given both defensive records, an open game is plausible, but the older meetings suggest a tighter contest is possible too. Parma have home advantage, and Udinese hold the better head-to-head record.
Update: since this preview was written, Udinese lost 0-2 at home against AC Milan (Serie A, October 25).
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Match Result | Total | Both Teams Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | PAR +170 DRAW +205 UDI +165 | O – U – | YES -135 NO +105 |
| BetMGM | PAR +165 DRAW +225 UDI +165 | O 2.5 +100 U 2.5 -135 | YES -135 NO -105 |
| BetRivers | PAR +175 DRAW +210 UDI +160 | O 2.5 +116 U 2.5 -150 | YES -122 NO -110 |
| Pinnacle | PAR +182 DRAW +218 UDI +179 | O – U – | YES -130 NO +113 |
| 1xBet | PAR +187 DRAW +227 UDI +177 | O 2.5 +119 U 2.5 -127 | YES -125 NO -108 |
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 26, 2026 at 1:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; current prices are in the Odds Comparison above.
This is the contrarian side, since the market favors the Under (BetMGM -160), but the recent games point toward goals. Parma have conceded in all 5 of their last five (11 goals against) and all 5 of those games reached 3+ combined goals, while Udinese have lost 5 straight and conceded 13 over the same stretch.
Parma moneyline at +195 (BetMGM). Udinese have lost all five of their last five and conceded in every one, while Parma are at home, where the market gives them a 32% chance. Parma also won the most recent meeting, from last season.
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