Genoa vs Juventus Prediction, Pick & Odds
Genoa host Juventus at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Wednesday, October 28 (3:45 PM ET) in Serie A's Regular Season round 9. Juventus have won each of the last four meetings between the sides, and Genoa have not won in the last five.
| Club | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
JUV
Juventus
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 | W L D W L |
|
16
GEN
Genoa
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 | W L W L D |
Model Intel
- Juventus have won four of the last five meetings, with a draw in the other, and Genoa have no wins in that span
- Genoa have kept two clean sheets in their last five, all competitions
- Juventus have averaged 1.4 goals per game over their last five, all competitions, with none of the five reaching three goals
- Four of the last five meetings finished with fewer than three total goals
The Breakdown
Genoa's last five, all competitions, are three wins and two defeats, including a Coppa Italia win over Sudtirol, with five goals scored and five conceded. They are not a high-scoring side, averaging one goal per game and never reaching three, but they have kept two clean sheets, including a 1-0 win at home against Venezia in their most recent game. Their results have tended to be narrow, with only two of the five games producing three or more total goals.
Juventus have two wins, two draws and a loss across their last five. Two of those games were in the Europa League, a 2-1 win at Celta Vigo and a 2-2 draw at home against Rennes. Their Serie A results include a 0-3 home defeat against Lazio and a 2-0 win away at Lecce. They have scored 1.4 goals per game, scored in four of five and conceded in four of five, so the picture is of a team that is competitive but not dominant.
The matchup puts Genoa's tight, low-scoring results against a Juventus side that has scored in most of its recent games. Genoa have conceded in three of their last five, so Juventus will likely find chances, though neither attack has hit three goals over that span. The head-to-head favours Juventus clearly, with four wins in the last five meetings, including a 2-0 win on April 6, 2026, and a draw in the other. Four of those five meetings finished with fewer than three total goals.
The market treats Juventus as favourites away from home, with Genoa clear underdogs and the draw a realistic outcome. The numbers suggest a measured game, given the clean sheets on the Genoa side and the low totals in the head-to-head, although Juventus have conceded in four of their last five, so goals at both ends are not out of the question.
Odds Comparison
| Sportsbook | Match Result | Total | Both Teams Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | GEN +390 DRAW +230 JUV -135 | O – U – | YES +115 NO -145 |
| BetMGM | GEN +400 DRAW +240 JUV -135 | O 2.5 +130 U 2.5 -185 | YES +115 NO -165 |
| BetRivers | GEN +420 DRAW +240 JUV -143 | O 2.5 +130 U 2.5 -167 | YES +112 NO -152 |
| Pinnacle | GEN +435 DRAW +248 JUV -127 | O 2 -119 U 2 +108 | YES +131 NO -150 |
| 1xBet | GEN +438 DRAW +270 JUV -127 | O 2.5 +142 U 2.5 -152 | YES +114 NO -155 |
Our Pick
Pick locked in Oct 26, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET — odds can move after that; current prices are in the Odds Comparison above.
Juventus have won four straight meetings with Genoa, and the market gives them 57% to win here against 18% for the home side. They miss Z. Celik and N. Gonzalez, but Genoa have averaged just 1 goal per game over their last five and none of those games reached 3 goals scored. Juventus bounced back from a 0-3 home loss to Lazio with a 2-0 win at Lecce, and BetMGM has the best price at -150.
Under 2.5 at -134 (BetRivers, -140 at BetMGM) is another angle. Four of the last five meetings stayed under the 2.5 line, though the latest is from a previous season. Genoa have seen 3+ total goals in only 2 of their last five.
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